Albury Climate Projections

The NSW Office of Environment and Heritage (AdaptNSW) has developed climate projections for the Murray Murrumbidgee region covering rainfall, fire, heat, and cold nights. It gives projections for the near future (2020–2039, or 2030) and for the far future (2060–2079, or 2070), compared to 1990–2009. The information below comes directly from climate modelling on the AdaptNSW website.

Temperature

  • Average, maximum and minimum temperatures to increase in both the near and far future.
  • Maximum temperatures to increase by 0.7°C by 2030 and by 2°C by 2070.
  • Maximum temperatures in spring and summer to increase by 2.4°C by 2070.
  • Minimum temperatures to increase by 0.6°C by 2030 and by 1.9°C by 2070.
  • More hot days and fewer cool nights.

Hot days

  • Number of days a year above 35°C to increase by 5 to 13 days by 2030, and to 23 by 2070.
  • By 2070, hot days will extend into spring and autumn.

Rainfall

  • Spring rain to decrease and autumn rain to increase in both the near and far future.
  • Little change (–0.9%) in annual rainfall by 2030, but an increase of 2.5% by 2070, driven by increases in summer and autumn rain.

Fire risk

  • Severe fire weather to increase during summer and spring but decline in autumn as autumn rainfall increases in the near and far future.

Regional impacts

  • Health impacts of heat waves, particularly to people who are very young, old, poor or sick.
  • Impacts of heatwaves on liveability and accessibility.
  • Impacts of heatwaves on businesses, particularly in sectors like tourism and agribusiness.
  • Increasing pressure on water resources for maintaining green spaces and vegetation.